Can
we predict the Future? Hum ...I doubt it.
Thirty years ago, the film Back to the
Future II tried to imagine what life would be like today. Well...it guessed a
lot of stuff, less the most important, the one that revolutionized our world -
the Internet and the new technologies of information and communication.
In 1971, in the era of Marcelo
Caetano, SEDES drew four scenarios for the political Future of Portugal and
awarded them degrees of probability. The scenario classified as less likely happened,
the Revolution of April 1974.
Yeah...
Unintentionally depress you, you must
forget the idea of imagine and build the Future. The Future is the place of
uncertainty, where all the predictions fail, where all plans skid.
I will not talk about how failed the
prospects for good jobs of thousands of our young graduates. Or the lost savings
of old men at Bank BES. Or the great PT, now dying. Or the confident Portugal
suffering the crisis of 2008 and comes to bankruptcy. Or the large Volkswagen as
a fraud. Nor Tony Blair apologizing for Iraq's error. Or emerging countries
whose economies seemed dazzling, but after all, are very fragile ... not the
... or the ...
So
the Future is ... I HAVE NO IDEA!
But if the Future is uncertain, the
present is here, close at hand. And it can be built, centimeter by centimeter,
minute by minute, event to event.
Okay, okay. So let’s build the present, the TODAY.
Looking to yourselves and to your children, what do you see?
Have you access to available information, know it, integrate it? Do you know to look for unknown information? And do you seek it? In short, are you multi-informed, in various dimensions?
Do you face new situations without
anxiety? And easily adapt to them? Do you seek new experiences, and have a
broad spectrum of experiences and interests? Do you easily face a change of
plans, getting the best out of the new situation? In short, do you have behavioral flexibility?
Finally, and the brain, how does it
works? Always looking for new perspectives, other points of view, other
solutions to the problems? The thought is unlocked, open to "rock the
world"? In short, do you have creativity?
Okay,
not worth despair. The multi-information, behavioral
flexibility and creativity are features that can be acquired, learned, just get
out a little more of the burrow ... shake off the cobwebs and review some
assumptions.
And
why these three characteristics are important in Today, and what they have to
do with the Future?
Easy. It's the difference between
playing golf and surfing. In golf, you strike a quiet ball, in a doubtful
anatomical position. Boring ... In surf, you manage the uncertainty of the
wave. Challenging and fun.
Thus, an ignorant, quiet and locked Today
is a waste of capacities. In turn, an informed, dynamic and intelligent Today is
the necessary condition for every individual's potential to develop as he
deserves.
Similarly, an ignorant, quiet and
locked Today cannot manage uncertainty, query and surprise inherent in the Future.
In turn, an informed, dynamic and intelligent Today is better positioned to
manage whatever comes.
A video to inspire. About the child
and the adolescent that are in us, and about our incredible ability to learn.
So, do not kill the child and the
adolescent that are in each of us. And do it every day, do not leave for the Future.
This is the assurance that the world will continue to improve.
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